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非农好于预期,美元强势反弹

关键词:美元强势反弹

8 月7日,现货黄金出现大幅度走低,由于美国就业数据好于市场预期,表明美国经济回暖取得明显效果,同时市场对于现货黄金的抛售、美元指数的强势反弹抑制黄金的避险功能。

LBMA金价在午后拍卖中定在低大约14美元的水平,也导致金价疲软。交易员在下午的交易中将LMBA黄金价格定在每盎司2031.15美元。卖单比买单高出大约9万盎司。

周五的数据显示,美国7月份非农就业增加176万,高于预期的148万;失业率降幅也大于预期。分析师道,强于预期的就业报告发布之后,美元和利率午后小有回升,贵金属涨势暂缓。

分析师表示,美元指数DXY从周四触及的两年低位强劲反弹,现货黄金则大幅下挫,但要记住,市场中迅速且大幅度的攀升往往会导致更大幅度的向下修正。但实际上,这对价格上涨趋势的延续是有益的。在交易中呈“抛物线”走势的市场往往会在最后阶段看到上升趋势,然后形成顶部。

美国非农就业数据好于预期,表明就业市场复苏,黄金价格下跌。虽然分析师正努力消化数据的影响,但此后传出美国制裁措施的相关报道,推动美元走高,使黄金价格再度承压。目前现货黄金强劲阻力位处于2062美元/盎司,若现货黄金再度下行,则下看2020美元/盎司。虽然基本面因素在近期可能继续对贵金属带来支撑,但从短期技术面来看,贵金属价格或将进一步下跌。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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