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黄金逼近高位后回落,美元跌至新低

关键词:黄金逼近高位后回落

在7月23日,现货黄金刷新至新高位,由于美元走势的疲软以及市场预期会出台更多经济刺激措施来重振经济,加上美国上周初请失业金人数的增加引发了市场的担忧。虽然在美股重挫下,美指有所回升,但分析师表示,部分投资者可能了解黄金仓位为其他情况进行融资。

美元指数周四延续下跌,盘中一度跌至94.58,为2018年9月以来最低水平,这使得黄金对持有其他货币的投资者来说不那么昂贵。上周美国初请失业金人数意外上升,为近四个月来首次,这表明在新增病例数回升和需求低迷的情况下,劳动力市场陷入停滞。分析师称,“宏观环境继续向有利于黄金的方向发展,美元指数走软至两年低位,实质收益率在负值区域进一步下滑。”

分析师表示:“如果黄金价格能突破2011年创造的历史最高水平,那么谁能保证它下一步不会达到2000美元?显然,没有人知道它能不能达到,但现在金价显然上涨动力十足,并且基本面仍是看涨。”

分析师指出,鉴于通胀预期将上升,对长期投资者来说,黄金应该是一种大型的分散投资工具。欧元最伟大的承诺之一是,任何政府都不能强制印钞。回溯历史,政府通常会先借钱,多年后用通货膨胀来为这笔借款埋单,从而降低偿还债务的实际成本。资产配置者认为,黄金与美国大盘股呈负相关关系,这使得黄金成为多数投资者长期投资组合的分散化配置。以美元和其他货币计价的黄金正在走高就不令人意外了。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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