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黄金多头一路猛进,创下新高

关键词:黄金多头一路猛进

7月8日,由于市场对于全球疫情的担忧,国际贸易紧张局势以及美元疲软的走势,市场避险情绪逐步升温,现货黄金出现明显涨幅,并刷新新高位,一路高歌猛进。

推动金价上涨的是新冠肺炎疫情造成的经济和政治上的不确定性,以及各国央行采取的行动,它们通过大幅下调利率和向市场注入大量资金来应对经济增长放缓,与此同时这加剧了市场对通胀的担忧,通胀通常会令其他资产贬值,同时也降低政府债券的回报率,令黄金更具吸引力。

分析师预计金价将进一步上涨,因为投资者寄望在新冠病毒撼动全球经济之际,黄金能够保值。现货黄金在过去14个月大涨40%,距离2011年创下的每盎司1921.28美元的纪录高位不远。

随着新冠疫情冲击各个经济体,今年投资者避险情绪浓厚,黄金在2020年的吸引力继续增强,中央银行和政府纷纷推出庞大的刺激计划,刺激资金持续流入黄金ETF,2020年迄今增加了655.6吨,超过了2009年全年的增长,而且今年每月都在上升。

金融投资者,主要在欧洲和美国,一直在进行前所未有的黄金购买狂潮。今年上半年,黄金ETF基金增持价值395亿美元的734吨黄金,根据世界黄金协会的数据,这一数字超过以往任何一整年,几乎占同期黄金开采量的一半。根据彭博汇总的初步数据,黄金ETF持仓量在周二升至3234.6吨。

新冠疫情使ETF持仓量达到了纪录高位,其影响超过了珠宝需求下降的影响,面对高风险和低收益率的情况,预计会有更多资金流入。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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