现货黄金高位徘徊,非农报告成关键因素
关键词:非农报告成关键因素
5月29日,现货黄金维持在1770美元上方,由于市场担心全球新增病例对经济造成沉重打击,对于经济反弹的情绪比较悲观,投资者更倾向于避险产品。同时本周市场重点关注非农就业报告情况。
分析师指出,当然,避险买盘相当强劲,尤其是美国新冠病例激增,目前确实推动了投资者的买兴。
近期美国一些州疫情出现升温的态势,经济重启也因此遭遇影响。在这种情况下,整个市场对经济复苏的担忧加剧。
世卫组织实时统计数据显示,截至欧洲中部时间29日8:17(北京时间29日14:17),全球新冠肺炎确诊病例累计超1000万例,死亡病例近50万例。
金价自阻力位回落并回到技术支撑位1765美元附近,目前整理于1800美元下方,并尝试向上突破,能否突破千八关口在很大程度上取决于经济表现,对黄金的最大担忧是,实际利率可能不会下降,因为通胀可能复苏缓慢,美国再次受到影响,未来一周的走势取决于宏观经济数据表现,美联储6月货币政策会议纪要可能会确认宽松政策。
整个市场的避险情绪还在继续为黄金提供支撑,维持住了看多动能,但美元的回升有了一些影响。美元有所回升,这对大宗商品市场是有所打压的。近期美国疫情有升温之势,令整个市场对此极为担忧。受此影响,美国的一些州经济重启受阻,更令市场对美国经济复苏担忧。
国际现货黄金价格可能在不远的将来试探1800美元,自3月以来,金价走势一直起伏不定,然而随着月图ADX指数在25以上强劲上升,确认金价处于长期升势之中,短期超买状况可能首先导致金价需要盘整一段时间,但料将在接近第三季末时,进一步上涨(甚至超过)1779.53美元的八年高点,支撑位位于1600美元,但只有跌破1500美元,才能表明已见顶。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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