避险情绪再次提振黄金,黄金后市受到支撑
关键词:避险情绪再次提振黄金
5月22日,由于地缘政治的紧张局势对避险情绪起到了升温作用,市场对病毒流行之下的全球经济复苏缓慢感到十分担忧,黄金等避险产品受到明显追捧,现货黄金出现巨大涨幅。
地缘政治关系紧张化令避险情绪高涨,黄金、国债与日元等传统避风港资产受到追捧;但分析师指出,随着多国与美国各州重新开放因冠状病毒疫情而冻结的经济,以及疫苗研发的希望渐增,本周黄金期货价格仍然录得跌幅。
地缘政治紧张局势再次升温,美国军舰和伊朗前往委内瑞拉的货船之间可能发生对抗是进入长周末前的关键问题,这促使投资者买入。
本周现货黄金价格一度突破1760美元/盎司关口,升至逾七年半高位,不过此后上涨动能有所不足,周四最低回落至1717美元。分析师表示,后市很长一段时间里,金价可能都将处在巨大波动的状态中,对黄金看涨,金价还有上行空间,短期看向1750上方,下个季度可能将涨向1800甚至1900水平;在目前这种货币政策极为宽松的状态下,黄金作为避险保值资产成为了很多投资者的选择。
今年金价将很难触及2000美元大关;突破并创下历史是很大的事情,1900关口对技术交易员而言,将是一个阻力水平。在金价突破创下新高之前,会有多次尝试,而今年余下时间未必够。
今年提振金价走高的因素不少,包括巨大的不确定性以及通胀威胁等,这些因素也将继续支撑黄金市场走高。自2016年起,投资者们就持续应用黄金来对冲各种不确定性,以及极为低迷的利率。近期各国央行会应对疫情而采取的各种措施更是‘火上浇油’。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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