避险情绪升温，金价反弹重回高位
关键词：避险情绪升温
5月1日，金价出现明显回升，从低位反弹接近34美元，刷新了日内的新高，由于美国总统特朗普的关税言论，让市场的避险情绪再次升温，美股市场出现较大跌幅，黄金避险需求增加。
病毒对经济的冲击，投资者对黄金的避险需求增加，推动黄金期货六个交易日以来首次上涨。
大田环球表示，我们看到美股表现较为疲弱，美国总统特朗普似乎在暗示贸易摩擦将卷土重来。听到这样的消息，许多投资者出脱了可能受此影响的各类资产，并重新投资于安全资产，特别是黄金。
目前来看，金价仍存在一些有利因素，美联储和欧洲央行本周早些时候表示，由于病毒大流行的影响可能恶化，他们已经做好加大货币刺激的准备，这提振了对黄金的保值和通胀对冲需求。
目前为止经济数据的表现还不足以完全反映出全球经济受到的影响，但随着越来越多的数据出来，市场避险情绪还会升温。美国经济后市面临着巨大风险，全球很懂国家都是如此。美国和欧洲的经济数据会变得越来越差，这会提醒人们经济受到的影响到底有多大。
此外，整个市场仍然有诸多不确定性，很多国家的封城和居家要持续多久也很难说。我们并不知道最终影响会怎样，经济重启的速度到底能有多快，这都是未知的问题。一旦避险情绪回升，黄金作为避险资产也将受益走高。
疫情对全球大宗商品市场将产生巨大影响，今年将触1800美元/盎司水平。对明年金价走势的预期也非常积极，有望突破2000美元/盎司关口，尤其在明年下半年。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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