金价回落,但仍有诸多因素支撑
关键词:金价回落
1月28日,现货黄金维持当前震荡回落走势,虽然亚太地区的安全事件仍是全球避险焦点事件,但市场认为这对市场的影响是短暂的,但中东局势,美国大选以及全球经济放缓的预期仍对金价有所支撑。
强势美元成为施压金价回落的重要因素之一,因当前除了美联储之外的其他主要经济体央行都有降息预期,欧洲央行上周决议鸽派,英国央行本周降息预期,澳洲联储下周降息预期以及加拿大央行上半年降息预期都给这些品种带来压力,而侧面支撑美元。同时美元也存在一些避险属性,使得美元升至近两个月高位。
扎里夫在访谈中说,伊朗一贯立场是愿意与美国对话,“对我们而言,谁当白宫主人并不重要,重要的是他们怎样做。如果特朗普政府修正以往做法,解除制裁、回到谈判桌前,会发现我们依然在谈判桌前。离开的人是他们”。
美国总统大选的结果将会对美股造成较大的冲击,而任何美国总统大选的民调数据都有可能影响市场风险偏好情绪,进而给金价带来影响。
周一美国数据显示,美国12月新建住宅销售连续第三个月降温,预示着在较低的借贷成本和稳健的劳动力市推动购房攀升至十多年来最高水平后,买房热潮可能有所减退。
全球经济的金丝雀韩国经济也让人担忧。据韩联社报道,经合组织(OECD)28日发布数据,预测韩国今年的潜在经济增长率为2.5%,较去年下降0.2个百分点。
韩国现代经济研究院经济研究室室长周元表示,从长期来看,潜在经济增长率还会不断下滑。2%左右的经济增速不是意味着经济暂时低迷,而是韩国经济陷入低增长区的一个信号。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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