黄金逆转多头，贸易消息引爆行情
关键词：黄金逆转多头
12月2日，现货黄金出现大幅跳水，因为之前美国总统特朗普发表了乐观的关税言论，明显提振了市场的情绪，美股市场创下新高，美元和美债收益率大幅增加，打压黄金避险能力。
早些时候，美国公布的两项经济数据11月PPI和当周初请失业金人数均较为疲弱，且英国大选结果的不确定性也滋生了市场避险情绪，在12月15日美国新一轮加征关税的最后期限到来之际，推动现货黄金触及每盎司1486.83美元，为11月7日以来最高。但美股开盘初行情迅速反转，特朗普发表推特称“非常接近”敲定贸易协议，帮助美股飙升至创纪录高位，美元指数从日低一度回升近50点，10年前美债收益率创11月13日以来新高至1.92%，令金价盘初大幅跳水，现货黄金接连失守1480、1470美元关口。
分析师表示，特朗普的贸易方面的言论带动风险偏好增强，资金流入股市。黄金的问题在于，当其它一切看起来都不错的时候，就没有多少动力去买入黄金，而这正是我们所看到的。
投资者还关注着英国大选，此次大选可能为英国首相约翰逊带领英国脱欧铺平道路，也可能推动英国举行另一场公投，可能最终逆转英国脱欧的决定。
美国经济增长和通胀温和将导致人们对黄金的兴趣不温不火。该行对黄金持中性态度，预计2020年平均价格将分别为每盎司1494美元。美银美林表示，明年很难对黄金感到兴奋，因为似乎鸽派的美联储货币政策已经奏效。黄金在2020年缺乏推高价格的催化剂，一切都与利率有关。我们需要看到各国央行重新出现鸽派情绪，才能推动金价小幅上涨。经济状况正在改善，因此目前对利率的态度更加矛盾，这对黄金不利。当你把这些放在一起，黄金很难取得任何重大进展。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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