金价反弹创新高，全球制造业并不乐观
关键词：金价反弹
12月3日，现货黄金刷新高位，原因在于美国制造业连续猥琐，而美国开辟贸易摩擦新战线的行为可能让美联储陷入新的困境。目前全球制造业正在面临国内库存膨胀，利润增加放缓以及需求疲弱的情况，市场将出现新一轮的避险情绪。
制造业的持续萎缩可能会让美联储陷入艰难的境地。美联储此前暗示，将暂停7月开启的本轮宽松周期。政策前景不确定性高企，也提升了市场避险情绪。
中美尚未达成第一阶段贸易协议——缓解长达17个月的贸易对峙，美国又开始对其他国家的商品征收更多关税。投资者担心，这将对全球经济前景构成额外风险，制造业的噩梦远远没有结束。
更恶劣的是，美国周一表示计划对24亿美元进口自法国的香槟、手提包、奶酪和其他产品征收最高100%的惩罚性关税。此前美国得出结论认为，法国新的数字服务税将损及美国科技公司。
今年10月，WTO裁决美国在诉空客非法补贴案中胜出，允许美国对每年价值75亿美元的欧盟输美商品加征关税。美国随后对大部分空客飞机，以及从单一麦芽威士忌到奶酪等欧盟输美商品加征部分关税。
这是这场规模创纪录的大西洋两岸贸易纠纷的最新进展，期间美欧双方均指控对方的飞机制造商获得政府非法补贴。WTO将于明年就欧盟诉波音非法补贴案做出裁决，欧盟要求对美国输欧商品加征报复性关税。
美欧双方官员都曾表示支持通过磋商来解决贸易问题，但同时又指责对方没有认真对待通过磋商解决问题的前景。全球制造业正面临着国内库存膨胀、利润增长放缓和海外需求疲弱等挑战。随着美欧之间经贸矛盾的激化，黄金多头似乎找到了新的靠山。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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