美国十月CPI喜忧参半，金价短线震荡
关键词：金价短线震荡
11月13日，美国公布了市场密切关注的10月CPI数据，数据整体表现好坏参半，当中末季调CPI年率超出市场预期，但是核心年率不及市场预期。在数据公布后，现货黄金在区间内激烈震荡。
具体数据显示，美国10月未季调CPI年率实际公布1.8%，预期1.7%，前值1.7%；美国10月未季调CPI月率实际公布0.2%，预期0.2%，前值0.1%。
而美国10月未季调核心CPI年率实际公布2.3%，预期2.4%，前值2.4%。此外，美国10月未季调CPI指数实际公布265.01，预期257.23，前值256.76。
分析认为，美国10月消费者物价指数回升，为美联储近期不再进一步降息提供了支撑。
分析指出，周三公布的数据显示，美国10月季调后CPI月率刷新3月以来新高，受家庭能源、医疗、事务和其他开支增加的影响，美国10月消费者物价指数回升，录得好于预期的表现，表明潜在通胀有所上升，加上贸易摩擦和经济衰退担忧缓和，为美联储近期不再进一步降息提供了支撑。
分析指出，伴随节假日的到来，这对10 月 CPI 有小幅的助推。美国核心 CPI 仍受医疗保健价格影响，而医疗保健价格不断拉升，这对核心 CPI有一定的推动作用。分析指出，仅仅从通胀的角度来看，美国经济尚未出现明显减速的状况，物价位于美联储的舒适区间。
多位美联储官员在最近的讲话中称，当前美国劳动力市场表现强劲，失业率低至3.5%，这种就业市场良好的势头还会继续维持。但良好的就业市场并未创造过多的通胀效应。美国的PCE核心通胀暂时被限制在2%这一目标的附近。
分析师认为，美国通胀预期可能在10月左右触底，而触底过程将会延续到明年年初。与普遍观点类似，在通胀预期下降期间，黄金可能会继续受到青睐，而在未来的12个月里，在通胀预期上升期间，大宗商品将受到青睐。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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