欧洲央行维持稳定,经济下行风险
关键词:经济下行风险
10月24日,欧洲央行公布利率决议,维持三大利率不变,央行行长德拉基重申利率决议内容,目前候任行长已加入欧洲央行管委会,整体保持鸽派风格,但着重强调了经济下行所带来的风险。
欧洲央行10月决议如期按兵不动,从11月起开始购债
① 如期维稳利率:欧洲央行10月如期维持存款机制利率-0.50%,主要再融资利率0%和边际借贷利率0.25%不变。
② 从11月起开始购债:将从11月开始每月以200亿欧元规模购债。
③ 利率前瞻指引:预期利率将维持在当前或者更低水平,直至通胀前景稳固转向接近但低于2%的目标水平。
④ 未来购债步伐:如有需要,将继续购债;将在加息前不久停止购债,将在首次加息后持续再投资计划。
德拉基谢幕秀继续放鸽,讲话六大看点一览
货币政策:需要在更长时间内持高度宽松的立场,欧洲央行正在提供货币政策刺激措施。
利率前瞻指引:如有必要,欧洲央行准备好调整所有政策工具,欧洲央行对负利率的评估是“非常积极的”。
通胀:整体通胀可能在年末上升前轻微下滑,经济增长疲软的压力传导给通胀有所延迟,潜在中期通胀将会走高。
风险因素:经济前景仍旧面临下行风险,下行风险突出,通胀温和经济前景仍将面临下行风险,风险与地缘政治、保护主义及新兴市场脆弱性相关。
此外该机构认为,欧洲央行还重申自11月1日起重启净资产购买计划,并表示为增强政策利率的宽松影响,量化宽松将会在首次加息前不久停止。换句话来说,就是量化宽松想要持续多久,就能持续多久。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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