金价突破千五关口，多方因素推动金价
关键词：金价突破
8月7日，现货黄金持续攀升，突破千五关口，全球贸易局势依旧紧张，市场避险情绪升温，特朗普再度要求美联储加大降息幅度。除了美联储的降息预期之外，全球央行的降息潮同样对金价形成了巨大的推力。
市场关注的两大经济体的局势没有出现降温的迹象……，投资者寻求避险，债券、黄金、日元等品种受到青睐，而股市则遭到抛售。贸易局势持续支撑金价。
据央视报道，针对美国政府近日宣称的、拟对3000亿美元中国输美商品加征10%关税，美方一些人士担心，美国此番对华升级经贸摩擦，在伤害中美农产品贸易的同时，也将严重打击美国农民的利益。
6日美国农会联合会副会长戴尔·摩尔在接受采访时表示，美国对华升级经贸摩擦，可能将导致美国逐渐失去中国这样一个巨大的市场，并给美国整个农业带来不利影响，造成数十亿美元的损失。
美联储降息预期继续升温。纽约时段盘中，特朗普再度发表强硬言论，敦促美联储降息。特朗普称，美联储必须更大幅、更快下调利率。
不过，美联储官员并不认同特朗普大幅度降息的观点。美联储内部最为鸽派的官员——圣路易斯联储主席布拉德周二向白宫传达了一个信息：不要指望每次国际政策威胁或声明令市场陷入混乱时都会有更多的降息。
美联储越来越侧重全球“逆流”因素。全球经济在下半年出现反弹的前景还很遥远，预计未来几个月增长前景将进一步下调，尤其是近期贸易紧张局势升级。我们预计美联储将在未来两次会议上继续降息，并在2020年继续。
全球央行降息潮来袭。自上周美联储降息25基点之后，全球各国央行开启了降息潮。周三稍早，全球“降息潮”俱乐部又添三位成员。新西兰联储、印度央行和泰国央行，这三家央行今日相继宣布降息。
分析师指出，目前世界正处于动荡中，利率低企，美元走软、贸易紧张局势、波斯湾地区地缘政治冲突等，均使黄金价格得到支撑。投资者因不确定短期内全球经济趋势，因而倾向于低风险资产。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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