金价持续上涨，多头占据主导
关键词：多投资占据主导
8月6日，现货黄金走出近六年以来的最高水平，在全球贸易风险和市场对全球经济增长的担忧之下，市场避险情绪升温，黄金成为避险资产的首选，大批资金涌入金市。
分析师预计，10年期美债的利率将降至1.5%。由于美联储准备放松货币政策，我们可能会在一段时间内处于一个明显较低利率的环境中。自上周美联储降息25个基点以来，投资者大量买入联邦基金期货合约，这意味着市场预计9月美联储将再次下调利率。
分析师表示，在经济增长方面存在很大的不确定性，特别是贸易摩擦，鉴于美国和全球股市波动加剧，黄金因此得到支撑。
分析师在一份报告中写道，许多市场观察人士现在认为，贸易问题升级将促使美联储很快再次降息。
黄金期货价格今年上涨了16%，因贸易摩擦对全球经济前景构成压力，带来了央行加大政策宽松的潜在需求。贸易问题的最新进展令市场在本周初受到冲击，股市暴跌，10年期美国国债收益率接近2016年美国大选之前的水平，黄金ETF的持仓量升至六年多来的最高点。
分析师指出，从技术面来看，黄金也非常看涨，短期这种状况还会继续下去。只要市场避险情绪继续，关于贸易问题和英国脱欧的不确定性继续，黄金多头就掌控市场。
分析师表示，市场对美联储进一步降息的预期在升温。该行认为，市场对美联储9月降息90个基点的预期重燃，这对黄金是利好的，因此还有进一步上涨的空间。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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