美国6月PCE数据低于预期，金价短线震荡
关键词：金价短线震荡
7月30日，美国公布的6月PCE物价指数低于市场预期，数据公布后，美元指数短线震荡，而现货黄金则短线上涨。而美国6月个人指数表现则符合市场的预期，但美联储对通胀低迷习以为常，本周加速降息的可能性并不大。
美国6月PCE物价指数年率实际公布1.4%，预期1.5%，前值1.5%；美国6月核心PCE物价指数年率实际公布1.6%；预期1.7%，前值1.6%。
美国6月消费者支出和物价温和上涨，显示经济增长放缓，通胀温和，美联储这周可能会迎来10年来首次降息。
分析师评论指出，美国商务部表示，服务业和其他商品支出的增长抵消了汽车购买量的下降。6月消费者支出的增长主要受个人收入增长的支撑，5月份个人收入也出现了类似的增长。此外，消费支出的增长一定程度上抵消了出口、库存增长以及企业投资疲弱对GDP的影响。
另一项美国数据显示，美国6月个人支出月率实际公布0.3%，预期0.3%，前值0.4%。分析师指出，美国6月个人支出月率创四个月以来的最小增幅，但个人收入和储蓄有所增加。
上周五公布的美国二季度PCE物价指数同样不及预期，但从最近公布的经济数据来看，美国经济增长似乎仍然充满动力，本月公布的美国数据显示，美国二季度GDP超预期；6月制造业PMI指数51.7，与前值基本持平，仍处于扩张区间；制造业新增订单大幅增长；6月失业率3.6%，仍然维持在4%以下的历史低位……
本月中旬美联储公布的经济褐皮书报告则显示，美国经济活动整体上温和扩张。美国未来数月的前景“大体上偏正面”，就业人口增幅略微放缓。不过，美联储官员们仍然对未来美国经济前景表达了担忧的观点，而美国总统特朗普直言不讳的要求美联储降息50基点。
目前投资者都在密切关注本周四凌晨美联储即将公布的最新的决议内容，鉴于美国之外的经济体增速放缓的风险，目前市场普遍预期美联储将降息25基点。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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