金价上扬，6月非农无法干扰大局
关键词：金价上扬
7月8日，国际金价上扬，并在千四关口附近震荡，市场焦点重新回到全球经济增速放缓以及央行降息方面上。虽然美国强劲的就业数据降低了美联储大幅降息的预期，但薪资增长缓慢，暗示经济正在丧失动能，也有可能带动美联储降息。
美元从数周高位回落也扶助金价，助其扭转走势。上周五美国强劲的就业数据降低了外界对于美联储或大幅降息的预期之后，金价下跌逾1%。
分析师表示：“尽管美国就业数据强劲，但市场仍预期降息，只是幅度没有先前预期的大。我们目前仍处于利率宽松周期。此外，对于黄金而言1400美元是相当强劲的支撑水准。还有全球经济成长仍偏疲弱，美国和伊朗也存在地缘政治紧张关系。整体因素仍有利于金价走高。”
美国劳工部上周五公布，美国6月非农就业岗位增加22.4万个。不过薪资增长持续温吞，同时有越来越多证据显示经济正在丧失动能，仍可能带动美联储本月降息。
美联储主席鲍威尔本周将在美国国会发表半年一度的证词，届时将提供近期货币政策前景的进一步线索。利率下滑可望支撑金价，因这会降低持有黄金的机会成本。
投资人同时关注美国和伊朗的紧张关系。伊朗上周日表示，将很快把浓缩铀丰度提升至超过2015年伊核协议所规定的上限。美国总统特朗普为此警告伊朗“小心点”，他一直在向德黑兰施压重新谈判该协议。
印度国内黄金价格上周五创下历史新高，此前该国提升进口关税令市场颇感意外。随着时间推移，印度国内实物黄金需求料受到抑制，并迫使经销商大幅折价贱卖存货。
全球最大的黄金上市交易基金(ETF)——SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量上周五减少0.18%至796.97吨，周三为798.44吨。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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