聚焦本周非农数据
关键词：非农数据
北京时间3月8号21:30，将公布美国非农就业人口变动情况以及失业率，同时各大分析机构都对此次数据的前瞻，同时上个月非农的预期不乐观，影响了本月的非农数据预期，市场对此都持有不同的态度。
相对于1月非农就业人口大增30.4万而言，各投行对于美国2月非农就业人口增幅的预期不太乐观，具体来看，美国2月季调后非农就业人口增幅料介于14.1万-21.5万，失业率料介于3.7%-3.9%，平均时薪年率增幅料介于3.2%-3.5%。
美国就业岗位继续增加，同时通胀保持在非常低的水平。1月非农就业岗位新增30.4万个，远高于预期的增加16.5万个。
但其中存在问题：1月平均时薪仅较前月增加0.1%，创2017年10月以来最低增幅。这一点很重要，因为平均时薪作为衡量通胀的关键指标备受关注。
美联储1月政策声明指出通胀压力温和。近来美联储官员更表示，尽管接近达成充分就业和2%通胀的目标，但薪资增长并未显示转化为物价上升的迹象。
2月非农报告仍需重点关注薪资数据，若薪资数据继续放缓增长，并引发美联储对通胀降温的忧虑升温，那么美联储年内加息预期恐再度降温，或导致限制美元上行空间。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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