面对强势美元，黄金多头投降
关键词：黄金多头下降
10月31日，美元指数狂飙，刷新16个月新高点，而黄金则出现三周新低。因为美国经济基本面强劲，美联储今年升息的预期不变。同时素有“小非农”之称的美国ADP就业报告也给了投资者一定的信心。
昨日，隔夜美元指数强势拉升，创出一年来的新高，这主要因素归功于公布的美国经济数据乐观。美国10月谘商会消费者信心指数录得137.9，为2000年9月以来最高，这主要受强劲的就业市场带动，暗示短期内经济可能持续强劲增长至2019年初。同时，欧元和英镑的持续走弱也为强势美元加油。今日晚间，投资者可以关注有着“小非农”之称的美国10月份ADP就业报告。
从美元指数的日图级别来看，美指依旧在上升趋势通道内运行，暂时没有改变轨迹的迹象，表明行情维持向上。均线系统多头排列，表明整体趋势为多头。狮子金融认为，行情创高的同时，乖离过大，有回踩5天线的可能。前期K线始终踩着5天线向上，所以行情拉回5天线将会是不错的买点。目前，MACD持续开口向上，没有任何收口迹象，表明后市行情依然会向上。操作上，狮子金融建议，不宜追多，可拉回找买点。
受到美元走强的拖累，金价不断走低。而美国经济基本面强劲，令美联储在今年和明年继续升息的预期不变，对金价不利。而美国三大股指企稳反弹会削弱黄金的避险需求，也对金价造成不利。后市还需要观察美国股市的进一步变化和黄金避险需求的变化。
从黄金日图级别来看，受到半年线的压制后，开始缓慢回落。目前，上升趋势线被跌破，表明行情有继续向下的风险。5天线和10天线即将死叉，短线进入调整阶段。狮子金融认为，下方颈线位和震荡区间支撑强烈，向下空间不大。MACD也依然在多方区域内运行，表明只是多头的短线调整。操作上，狮子金融建议，暂时以观望为主。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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