鲍威尔首秀杰克逊霍尔！美元、黄金将迎來大行情
关键词：黄金大行情
8月24日，美联储主席鲍威尔将在杰克逊霍尔央行年会上发表讲话。目前预计鲍威尔将保持鹰派立场，则美元有望进一步扩大涨势，而金价面临继续下跌的风险。鲍威尔演讲将为本周金融市场上的重头大戏，美元、黄金是否将迎来大行情？
鲍威尔首秀杰克逊霍尔
美联储主席鲍威尔将于北京时间8月24日22:00在堪萨斯城联储举行的杰克逊霍尔年会上发表讲话。鲍威尔演讲的主题是“经济变革中的货币政策”，届时可能发布他的最新展望。
杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会素有政策拐点“晴雨表”之称。召开期间金银等市场一般会有明显行情波动，同时美联储主席在内的各位央行高官都将发表重要演说。面对特朗普近日“炮轰”美联储政策及外部环境的动荡，鲍威尔的讲话备受关注。此外土耳其货币危机令新兴市场震荡，美国经济虽然在稳步增长，但也面临着薪资增长缓慢等难题。在此背景下，此次会议成为投资者们寻找线索的好机会。
鲍威尔将发表鹰派言论？
今年的杰克逊霍尔年会将是鲍威尔作为美联储主席的首秀，其讲话立场的鹰派可能性大于鸽派。鹰派倾向有让短期国债收益率小幅走高的空间，对美元来说，这将是一个适度的短期利好。如果鲍威尔采用耶伦式的“鸽派”做法，那么新兴市场资产可能会得到喘息。受美联储官员鹰派言论推动，美元周四表现强劲。
黄金能否“躲过一切”？
因美联储加息预期推动美元反弹，现货黄金周四下跌，美市盘中最低下探至1183.28美元/盎司，金价跌破1190美元/盎司一线后加大跌幅，日内跌去逾10美元。
此外，黄金期货五个交易日以来首次下跌。纽约商品交易所12月交割黄金期货收盘下跌0.8%，报1,194美元/盎司。
假如鲍威尔发表较为鹰派的言论，可能给美元提供进一步反弹的动力，而金价恐承压下滑，金价可能即将触底。如果金价跌破1,180美元/盎司，投资者应该退出并寻找一个新的入场点。一切有待今夜揭晓！
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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