FED加速升息,美债收益率疯涨
美指连续第三日录得上涨,一扫前期颓势,主要受到欧元及英镑走弱所带动。有分析称,英国央行和欧洲央行都可能由于经济增速放缓,而对货币政策前景持保守看法,有次拖累欧元和英镑下跌。
周四(4月19日),美指连续第三日录得上涨,一扫前期颓势,主要受到欧元及英镑走弱,以及美债收益率大涨所带动。有分析称,随着欧洲央行4月会议将于下周举行,市场对于欧银将传达谨慎立场的观点正占据主流,主要由于欧元区通胀水平仍不及预期,以及经济增速有出现停滞的迹象。
同时,近期强势的英镑录得大跌也引人关注。英镑周四大跌主要由于英国3月零售数据表现不佳,使得投资者猜测即使英国央行于5月加息,但仍可能是鸽派加息。因英国央行可能会对下一次加息持保守态度。据英国央行行长卡尼最新讲话中显示,英国经济数据喜忧参半,可能会于今年加息。
此外,美债收益率大涨,美国5年期债券收益率创下近十年来新高。,要受到近期大宗商品大涨将刺激通胀加速上升,从而逼迫美联储或加快升息步伐所导致。
英国央行行长卡尼:今年有可能加息。很肯定在五月的会议上货币政策委员会将会有几种不同的意见。并不希望太关注确切的时间点。准备在接下来几年加息几次。经济数据喜忧参半。
美联储理事布雷纳德:通胀良好锚定,但有一些迹象暗示不平衡。敦促在放松资本和流动性规定之前保持谨慎。现在不是降低资本和流动性规则的时候。
最近的报告显示,就业市场依然强劲,失业率保持在2000年末以来的最低水平,尽管工人工资尚未形成持续的加速增长;目前劳动力市场被认为接近或处于完全就业状态,失业率4.1%为十七年以来最低,也十分接近美联储预测的今年年底到3.8%的水平;美国联邦储备委员会周三发布的褐皮书报告称,尽管企业在努力填补空缺职位,但工资增长幅度不大。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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