本周非农重磅来袭
4月2日至6日当周,复活节及清明节将令全球多个市场休市。尽管如此,市场仍将迎来每月最重磅数据——非农就业报告,非农就业人数变动及时薪增速尤其值得关注。在报告公布后,美联储新任主席鲍威尔将就经济展望发表讲话,预计将不可避免地提及美国的劳动力现状,料将接连对市场构成影响。
全球央行方面,周二澳洲联储将公布利率决议,预计持续按兵不动。不少分析师预测其将保持利率不变直到2019年中期甚至更晚。周四欧洲央行将公布货币政策会议纪要,在上周欧洲央行管委诺特建议加速结束购债,如果欧银纪要中提到同样观点,预计将提升欧元的吸引力。
由于全球多个市场周一仍处于假期之中,因此本周汇市总体有序开盘,并没有出现过多明显的跳空缺口。截至发稿前,欧元兑美元报1.2313;英镑兑美元报1.4034;美元兑日元报106.25。
巴西和阿根廷在大豆市场正在提升存在感。两国的产量比10年前增加5成。尤其是巴西,其产量可匹敌世界最大生产国美国。由于中美贸易摩擦,南美产的大豆被视为替代美国产的供应来源,正成为期货市场的交易对象。
美国总统特朗普发布推特:呼吁建立边境墙;墨西哥几乎没有做任何努力来阻止其人民非法进入美国。如果墨西哥继续我行我素,将停止其财源、退出NAFTA。
日本共同社3月31日、4月1日实施的日本全国紧急电话舆论调查结果显示,围绕“森友学园”文件篡改问题,65.0%的受访者“认为首相安倍晋三有责任”,和上次调查(66.1%)基本持平。安倍内阁支持率为42.4%,比上次调查上升3.7个百分点;不支持率下降0.7个百分点至47.5%,继续超过支持率。
德国总理默克尔领导的基民盟1日证实,基民盟在2017年德国联邦议院选举前从德国邮政手中购买选民数据。同时,反对党自由民主党承认其也在联邦议院选举前从德国邮政购得选民数据。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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