特朗普顾问辞职是黄金入市良机？
美国总统特朗普的经济顾问科恩将离职。在此消息公布后，标普500股指期货暴跌1%，美元兑日元大幅跳水约60点，现货黄金跳涨近6美元。
布朗兄弟哈里曼银行全球外汇策略主管钱德勒(Marc Chandler)表示：“此消息一出，似乎对投资者而言是不利的。因为科恩对贸易保护主义是持反对态度的。”据报道，科恩曾对特朗普将要对铁和铝产品征收关税表示过强烈的反对。
美国财长努钦表示，若《北美自由贸易协定》谈判成功，将不会对加拿大和墨西哥征收钢铁及铝的关税。分析师却表示，他怀疑特朗普真的想发动一场贸易战，并认为科恩的离开会在美国股票市场上建立一个巨大的买入机会。
分析师称，如果市场感到恐慌，我将把它看成是短期买入的机会，而非抛售的理由。努钦不反对征收关税，但科恩反对征收关税以及开打贸易战。特朗普此举可能只是一种谈判策略，但商界、贸易伙伴和国会议员都对此表示强烈抗议。我认为他不想发动一场贸易战就像他不想发动核战争一样。
保护主义究竟是利多美元还是利空美元？人们在这一点上一直有争论。一方面，这是利好美元的，因为这意味着美国需要进口的东西变得更少了。但另一方面，这其实也是利空美元的。因为这意味着一场贸易战争可能会出现，将导致全球经济增速放缓，美元将会贬值。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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