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各方势力造势美联储进一步加息

1月9日,现货黄金价格小跌,因市场预期今年美国会进一步加息。投资者押注美国将进一步升息,1月5日公布的非农就业数据未给美联储货币政策收紧前景造成挑战。不太可能改变对美联储在3月会议上加息的预期。

周二(1月9日),现货黄金价格小跌,因市场预期今年美国会进一步加息。投资者押注美国将进一步升息,上周五(1月5日)公布的非农就业数据未给美联储货币政策收紧前景造成挑战。

上周的就业数据被认为不太可能改变投资者对美联储在3月会议上加息的预期。黄金对美国利率上升高度敏感,因为它们增加了持有非收益率黄金的机会成本,同时推高了美元的价格。

分析师表示,鉴于物价压力疲弱,且公众对美联储实现其2%通胀目标的信心可能流失,美联储2018年可能只需升息两次。

鉴于经济将受益于减税,美联储应在今年3次上调利率。克利夫兰联储备主席梅斯特表示,她预计今年将有四次加息,这要归功于美国经济的强劲增长和低失业率。

分析师称:“金价短期将承压,因美国税改以及升息预期将提振美元走强。不过市场很快会习惯升息预期,美元随之会丧失强势,从而又推动金价上涨。我们预期金价会在2018年下半年突破2017年高位。”

分析师认为,最近黄金的上涨可能是由于短期交易者的支撑,美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)的数据显示,12月中旬以来黄金价格上涨超过6%主要是因为受到投机的驱动,该分析师认为,黄金面临回调的风险已经上升,如果美股继续飙升,投资者保持对风险资产的偏好,黄金可能迎来一波获利回吐。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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