12月加息确定？美联储候选人生变
美元周三（10月4日）下跌，因投资者在倍受关注的就业报告周五出炉前调整头寸，但今日公布的服务业数据强劲，令美元缩减跌幅。
美国经济数据不断改善，加之美国减税前景和美联储12月升息的可能性，在近几周提振美元。但市场，本周对美元抱持谨慎态度，因担心最近袭击美国的飓风可能拖累上月的就业报告。
“人们害怕就业报告受到飓风影响，”分析师称。美元缩减跌幅，因美国供应管理协会(ISM)公布，9月非制造业指数上升至2005年8月来最高，投入物价分项指数升至2012年2月来最高水准。“该数据的各分项指标似乎都支持美联储在12月升息。”
其他数据显示，美国9月民间就业岗位增加13.5万个，高于分析师预期，尽管飓风哈维和伊尔玛对“较小规模的零售商造成显着影响。”
在为周三举行的社区银行会议准备的演讲稿中，美联储主席耶伦未就经济和货币政策发表评论。投资者调整头寸，因为相较之前的预期，美国总统特朗普可能任命一位政策立场不那么强硬的人出任下一任美联储主席。
相比前美联储理事沃什，美国财长努钦(Steven Mnuchin)更青睐的美联储主席人选是美联储理事鲍威尔。外界认为，沃什的货币政策立场更鹰派。周三多则新闻报导也显示，沃什出任美联储主席的可能性不大。
“仅仅数日前，大家都认为沃什将是下一任美联储主席，市场认为，此人支持从紧的货币政策，现在，所有人都认为，鲍威尔出任美联储主席的可能性更高，认为鲍威尔将主张非常，非常缓慢地收紧货币政策，”分析师称。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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