特朗普闹剧或会成为减税的重大助力
在白宫一片混乱的情况下，美国企业和个人的税收立法新政有可能在更强的紧迫感下得以过关，国会共和党人担心他们可能因为特朗普总统的不给力而失去众议院的多数席位。因而，需要拿出有力的政绩来挽回颓势。
据多名华尔街策略师的记录，在一片混乱的情况下，人们对今年在华盛顿可能发生的事有了一个看法，那就是企业和个人的税收立法新政有可能在更强的紧迫感下得以过关。税改是特朗普财政政策议程的基石，也是国会共和党人的主要目标，而在特朗普施政乏力，国内共和党人内斗不休的背景下，人们对这一全面计划的乐观情绪已消退。
个人税率可能会降低几个百分点，但Levkovich表示，共和党人将会回避取消诸如抵押贷款利息、慈善捐赠等受欢迎的减税措施。如果共和党人不采取行动，他们面临的威胁将越来越大。分析师的研究表明，如果现在举行选举，众议院共和党人和参议院可能会失去他们多数席位的优势。这将迫使共和党人寻求立法方面的成就。
即使是在下个月达成预算和提高债务上限的艰巨任务，国会中的共和党人更有可能推动在税改方面达成的协议。国会目前抑郁的情绪，与选举后的最初几个月的样子形成了鲜明的对比，投资者曾经认为，特朗普总统和共和党的国会可迅速通过立法，制定自己的经济议程。但眼下，国会陷入了困境，试图用一项新的医疗保健法案取代奥巴马医改，而预期的税收收入增长却并未实现。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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