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非农数据优于预测,美联储仍要加息

超级周最重磅的大戏登场。美国劳工部(DOL)公布的数据显示,美国5月非农就业人口仅仅增加13.8万人,失业率跌至4.3%。

市场人士指出,尽管失业率再一次走低,且创下16年以来的最低水平,但是从其他的指标来看,美国5月非农就业报告充满了“噩兆”,不知道美联储究竟会如何看待这份报告。
下面小编将通过数据来为您全解5月就业报告情况:

1)美国5月非农就业人口增加13.8万,远远不及市场预期的增加18.2万,这也是去年10月以来的第二低水平;

2)美国5月失业率降至4.3%,创下16年以来低位,市场预期4.4%;美联储认定的完全就业状态为失业率在5.0%的水平。

3)分行业来看,制造业新增就业人口环比大幅下降,为今年以来最差数据;

4)美国劳工部还将4月非农就业人口下修至17.4万,3月下修至5万,就业人口累计减少6.6万;

5)美国劳工部称,过去的三个月里,平均每月的就业人口只增长了12.1万人。这与过去12个月18.1万人的平均增加值相差甚远,是2012年的最弱增长。

6)美国5月平均每小时薪资月率增长0.2%,预期增长0.3%;年率增幅2.5%,为去年三月以来最低值;

7)美国5月劳动力参与率从4月的62.9%降低至62.7%,刷新了4月创下的四十年低点。
分析师评论称,非农就业报告令市场对美联储的计划产生了一定疑问,劳动力参与率进一步走低是坏消息。

分析师根据联邦基金期货利率计算得出,交易员预计美联储6月加息的概率为87%,略低于非农数据前的89%。


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