黑田东彦：维持低利率以拉动经济
周一(12月26日)，日本央行行长黑田东彦在东京日本经济团体联合会会议上发表讲话，谈到日本经济、通胀和利率等问题。
黑田东彦表示，全球经济似乎进入了一个新阶段，最终摆脱了全球金融危机的阴影。日本央行新政策框架旨在将长期利率保持在零附近，将有助于使对日本经济有利的全球推动力最大化。他在日本最大商业游说机构讲话表示，通过正确实施这一政策框架，日本央行可借全球经济复苏动能使日本经济获得更大驱动力。
黑田东彦指出，随着新兴市场需求复苏，日本出口与产出增加。在全球经济复苏的推动下，日本经济现在得以向前迈进。企业具有创新能力并创造对新产品和服务的需求，这对日本经济极为重要。很多国家长期利率上升而10年期日债收益率稳定在零附近，表明日本央行的收益率曲线控制政策正在发挥预期效果。通过正确实施新政策框架，日本央行可以利用全球复苏动能令日本经济也受益。
黑田东彦表示，有必要在本轮货币宽松周期内实现2%的通胀目标，以此确保日本不再重新跌回通缩深渊。日本经济不再处于通缩，但尚未实现2%的通胀目标。黑田指出，有人说鉴于较低的潜在增长率，日本应当设定一个较低的通胀目标，他不赞同这种看法。他认为正是因为低增长率才更应设定较高的通胀目标，以确保为货币宽松提供更大的空间。 他称承诺超越通胀目标为的是明确表明日本央行肯定能够实现这一目标的立场。
黑田东彦表示，从较长期角度而言，全球经济在金融危机后似乎已脱离调整阶段。全球经济已经走出金融危机后的调整期。发达经济体的增长步伐近来已经加快。全球贸易量增长减速主要是因为企业固定投资需求低迷，尤其是在新兴经济体。2016年是艰难的一年，但是逆风正在转为顺风。他确信日本经济2017年能够大踏步前进摆脱通缩。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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