美元净多头头寸增至逾两个月新高
尽管周五(6月3日)公布的美国非农数据表现惨淡，但当天美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)公布的数据显示，截止5月31日当周，美元净多头头寸转升至逾两个月以来最高位，表明在此次大为疲软的非农数据公布前，投资者因预期美联储夏季加息而大幅青睐美元。
具体数据显示，截至5月31日当周，美元净多头头寸增至48.6亿美元，而此前一周为持有37.3亿美元净空仓。
不过，本周的CFTC数据并未覆盖周五的疲弱非农数据，非农出炉之后6月与7月加息预期急转直下。中金网昨日报道，美国劳工部数据显示，美国5月季调后非农就业人口为3.8万人，大幅不及预期的16.4万人，创2010年9月以来最低增幅。
分析指出，鉴于5月就业数据，美元多头头寸恐将萎缩。
数据公布后，CME Group的FedWatch工具称，美国联邦基金利率期货走势显示，，交易商预计美联储在6月14-15日政策会议上加息的机率仅为6%，显著低于周四的21%。
当前美联储最可能的加息时机为9月或12月，据FedWatch，联邦基金期货走势显示美联储9月加息概率为47%，12月加息概率为63%。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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