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英国CPI创1年来最高

关键词:英国CPI创1年来最高

英国国家统计局公布的英国12月通胀数据好于预期,创1年来最好水平。在美元强势和退欧风险面前,英镑兑美元反应平淡,几无涨跌。

英国国家统计局表示,英国通胀上涨的原因主要是机票和汽车能源价格上涨。但是,英国12月PPI输出价格较上年同期的降幅为2014年12月以来最小。

另外统计数据显示,英国2015年CPI为持平,创1950年有可比记录以来的最低;2014年CPI增长1.5%。相比而言,本次通胀虽然有所回升,但依然处于低位。

稍后晚间20:00,英国央行行长卡尼发表今年首次重要讲话,市场预期他将对英国经济持谨慎态度。上次的英国央行会议上,英国货币决策人关注市场波动和油价大跌。

市场分析人士人英国央行可能觉得英镑跌得还不够,他们恐怕还需要看到英镑进一步贬值,对通胀产生明显影响后,决策官员才会升息。

对于英镑走势,德国商业银行(Comme rzbank)驻伦敦经济学家Peter Dixon指出,“英国央行已经坦言,最近英镑贬值将为通胀路径提供部分支撑,但是我们认为最近英镑可能会至少收复一些下跌的失土。”

丹斯克银行(Danske Bank)则认为,英镑/美元周初表现温和,汇价仍处于弱势行情之中,需关注1.4228强势支撑。英镑在日图上已经超卖,或许会出现空头获利了结的情况。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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