欧元区12月综合PMI终值小幅上修
关键词:欧元区12月综合PMI终值小幅上修
经济研究机构Markit周三(1月6日)公布的最新数据显示,欧元区12月综合PMI(采购经理人指数)与服务业PMI终值均较初值小幅上修,受益于企业招聘速度创近五年来最快。但是,该经济研究机构指出,企业仍在下调价格,而且该数据水平仍要求欧洲央行出台更多刺激措施。
具体数据显示,欧元区12月服务业PMI终值为54.2,持平于11月份数据,但高于预期值与初值53.9;欧元区12月综合PMI终值为54.3,高于预期值与初值54,也高于11月的54.2。
该机构的经济学家Chris Williamson表示,欧洲央行量化宽松已经实施将近一年,仍让人担心其政策效果不佳;12月PMI数据预示2015年第四季度欧元区经济仅温和成长。
他表示,“尽管PMI数据有所改善,但仍暗示欧元区2015年四季度GDP增速仅有0.4%,2015年全年增速料为1.5%。”
同时,分项指标显示,产出物价指数持稳在49.5,为连续第三个月低于50,表明欧洲央行的通胀目标或将花费更长时间才能实现。但是,企业增雇新员工的速度创2011年5月以来最快,预示2016年经营形势会转好。
过去一年来,欧元区失业率在稳步下降,但10月录得的10.7%失业率仍几乎是美国失业率的两倍,而且欧元区各国之间的失业率水平分化严重。
此外,欧盟统计局今日公布的数据显示,欧元区11月PPI(生产者物价指数)月率为-0.2%,符合预期,但高于前值-0.3%;欧元区11月PPI年率为-3.2%,低于预期值-3.1%,持平于下修后的前值-3.2%。
欧洲央行去年12月3日决定将隔夜存款利率由-0.2%下调至-0.3%,并将QE结束时间推迟至2017年3月。该“放水”规模让市场大失所望。
但是,欧洲央行行长德拉吉称,他相信央行的举措已足以令欧元区通胀率回到该行的2%目标上限。
欧洲央行一年前开始实施“负利率”货币政策,成为全球首家尝试“负利率”宽松货币政策的主要央行。自欧洲央行去年3月首都实施购债举措(QE)以来,欧元区经济并未出现明显的好转。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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