美国7月ADP仅增加16.7万，即将到来的非农有预期理想吗？
就在不久前，有“小非农”之称的美国7月ADP就业报告刚刚出炉，但很可惜，此次7月ADP就业人口仅仅增加16.7万，远低于市场预期的增加150万，6月就业人口从增加236.9修正为增加431.4万。
作为本周五非农报告的前瞻性数据，7月ADP远低于市场预期，这很可能在预示此前美国总统特朗普表示的“周五出炉的就业人数将是个‘大数字’”难以兑现承诺。而且根据此份ADP就业报告，考虑到当前美国的新冠疫情仍未有受控迹象，多州的经济重启计划面临“急刹车”，短期内经济复苏已无望。这无疑会冲击经济前景，以及打击美元的信心，从而提振黄金。大田环球预估恐怕会进一步加剧经济复苏失去动能的信号，刺激市场避险情绪使避险理财产品价格上涨。
所以在非农数据预期不乐观的环境下，黄金价格还有一定的上涨空间，投资者在最近几天也要密切关注周五非农报告结果，趁着非农数据刺激金价行情时找准机会顺势进场做单。不过，目前黄金已经到达相对高位，未来回调的风险也正逐步增加，投资者在交易中也别忘了严格止损，以便在市场反转时及时以最低损失离场。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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