金价上涨后短期承压回落,影响金价的因素有哪些?
最近黄金市场虽然一路表现出多头强势,但目前在暴涨后却暂时回落,也使得不少投资者要及时平仓离场,进一步观望黄金的态势。那在金价大起大落的过程中,到底影响金价的因素是什么?下面我们就一起来看看:
①通货膨胀:
如果通货膨胀剧烈,把现金存银行收取利息,反而会赶不上物价的暴升。这个时候人们就会将资金转投黄金市场,因为黄金的价格会随通涨而向上调整,是可靠的避险产品。而当美、英等西方主要国家的通涨越高,那用黄金避险保值的要求也就越大,国际金价也越高,比如美国的通涨率,就是最容易左右黄金的变动。
②本地利率:
投资黄金虽然不会获得利息,其却能凭著价格变动获利。在利率偏低时,投资黄金的价值自然会直线上升,金价自然也水涨船高;但利率升高时,此时收取利息更吸引人,无利息黄金的投资价值就会下降,金价也会随之承压。
③供需关系:
黄金的供给主要来源于三个方面:矿山开发产金、各国央行抛售储备金,以及旧金回收。如果在黄金需求持续增长时,供给增长速度不能跟上需求增长步伐,比如南非黄金产量下降,就意味著中央银行需要出售黄金才能弥补供需缺口,促使国际金价上涨。
④各国中央银行:
各国央行都是黄金持有的大户,持有黄金的意愿直接影响金价的走势。若央行吸纳或增持黄金,则金价就会上升;相反,若央行出售黄金,那么金价就会走低。
而除了以上几点原因,像股票市场波动、原油价格涨跌、政治动荡、经济状态等都是影响金价的因素,投资者在炒黄金时,最好在贵金属网站上多关注此类信息,密切注意以上因素带来的影响。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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