巨量美元空头涌入,美元或成狙击目标
在上周五,黄金在晚间市场出现大量涨幅,除了因为市场担心疫情二次爆发的避险情绪浓厚之外,市场对于美元的看空情绪也越来越浓厚。同时本周即将公布的重要数据以及美联储官员的讲话将会直接引导黄金和美元市场的走向。
本周需要重点关注的数据有以下项:美国6月Markit制造业、服务业PMI初值,美国第一季度实际GDP年化季率终值,美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率
这些数据将反映疫情对美国经济冲击后的真实情况。美国商务部数据显示,今年第一季度美国国内生产总值按年率计算下降5%,是2008年金融危机引发经济衰退以来最大降幅。
随着经济重启,美国经济表现有所反弹,但投资者需要担心市场预期是否过于乐观。上周讲话中,鲍威尔等美联储官员不止一次表示美国经济将会复苏,但需要一段时间。更何况,第二波疫情担忧正在笼罩,美国经济前景依然充满不确定性。
虽然上周美元的表现十分强势,但由于市场担心疫情的二次蔓延以及二次爆发,投资者对于具有避险属性的美元重新抱有较大关注,但市场很多投资者对于美元上涨趋势的可持续性并不看好,看跌情绪十分浓厚,大部分投资者都会美元进行空头持仓。
如今现货黄金市场需要有着看多的趋势,但没有明显信息的指引时,行情走向只能是处于稳定状态,同时市场对于的美元的看空情绪浓厚,但仍不宜马上进场交易空单,最好是等待新消息的出现再做打算。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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