GDP可能腰斩，2万亿刺激为何没有作用？
由于疫情对美国经济造成的重大打击，美联储已经先后投放了数万亿美元以刺激经济的发展，但有数据预测，美国二季度的GDP增长率为-51.2%，对于经济发展来说，这并不是一个乐观的数据，在3月份美国国会通过2.2万亿经济刺激计划，为什么经济发展还是没有明显变化呢？
2万亿美元刺激做出了负贡献
在经济模型中，政府支出对GDP的贡献为-1.12%，按道理来说，如此巨大的经济刺激计划，怎样也不会是负值，那到底是怎么一回事？有经济学家估计，是各州开支的下降抵消了政府的开支，换句话说，也就是当前各州因为疫情而承受的经济打击足以抵消美国国会2万亿美元的经济刺激。美国社会一直有着“超前消费”的习惯，加上美国经济的增长大部分都是由居民消费所带动的，所以这次的沉重打击让美国经济情况实在不容乐观。
是否会引发通货膨胀？
不少投资者都在担心，美联储如此“撒钱”，是否会激化社会上的通货膨胀现象，其实通货膨胀是一个整体的趋势，即使美联储没有实施经济刺激计划，通货膨胀也会持续变化。而美联储的这次行动是让通货膨胀进一步激化了，因此很多人目前都是将资金放在理财产品上增值以求降低通胀带来的损害。
美国GDP的增长情况不容乐观，在没有新的基本面信息出来之前，市场的避险情绪仍是比较高的，所以目前选择一定产品进行理财增值，可以说是大势所趋。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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