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数据是决定市场行情的唯一因素吗?

经济全球化的发展,让每个商品市场都有着密切的联系,而投资者则可以通过市场上的风吹草动来预测整个大势走向,因此,经济数据也就成为了广大投资者预测市场趋势的重要指标,那这些数据是决定市场走向的唯一因素吗?凡事都有两面性,经济数据更要多方面观察。

除了数据更重要的是市场信心

投资市场最重要的组成部分就是投资者,因此,市场信心是很重要的,除了看数据表现之外,还需要市场信心是如何看待本次数据的。举个简单的例子,假设美国公布了一系列经济数据,数据结果比较差,但随后美联储就公布了相关的经济政策,市场认为虽然数据表现较差,但美联储的这些政策对美元有着一定的利好,那美元就会出现上涨,黄金转而下跌。所以要判断市场趋势,除了看数据之外,还需要关注市场信心。

数据并不能单一看待

除了市场信心之外,在观察数据时,还需要留意前值、预测值、实际值。再举一个简单的例子,上周公布的非农数据,市场投资者都知道这次数据很差,所以预测了2100万的失业人口,但实际数据公布后,失业人数只有2000万,好于市场的预期,市场就会认为现在经济有可能改善,我们也就看到了在非农数据公布后,黄金出现下跌,美元指数则急速上涨。

根据相关经济数据的确可以判断市场的主线走向,但投资者不能过于依赖数据,也要留意市场信心市场情绪的变化,根据整个基本面环境的情况来制定投资计划。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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