做空现货黄金的盈利原理是什么?
现货黄金不同于股市,我们在现货黄金市场中做投资,不仅能在黄金价格上涨时做多单盈利。就算黄金价格下跌,我们也能反向做空单,买跌黄金来赚取其中的差价利润,也就是我们常说的现货黄金的“双向交易”特点。那么,我们做空现货黄金的盈利原理是什么?
1、做空现货黄金是怎么盈利的?
其实所谓做空现货黄金,就是指我们在黄金价格下跌时,先向金商、银行借入一定量的黄金交易权以相对高价卖出去取得一笔资金,等待金价下跌到合理的低价位时,再以低价买回等量的黄金交易权还给金商或银行,从中赚取金价下跌时产生的差价。简单来概括,其实这是一个“高卖低买”的过程。
举个例子,比如你父母有一套价值100万的房子,你预计一年后房价会下跌到90万,那么你现在就能先向父母借这套房子以100万的价格卖出去,等到一年后房价下跌到90万再买回来还给父母,这个过程就类似于我们做空现货黄金时的盈利原理。我们可以理解为,房子就相当于你交易的现货黄金,而父母则充当了金商、银行角色。
2、什么时候适合做空现货黄金?
当然上面也提到,我们做空现货黄金,首先前提是黄金价格要出现明显的下跌趋势。关于这个,我们可以观察几个明显的市场信号,来提前预测进场做空黄金的时机:
①社会经济前景良好:当人们对未来的社会经济发展状态前景乐观时,就会缓解黄金投资市场的避险情绪,将资金转投到社会经济建设中,这时就会使黄金承压出现不同程度的下跌趋势;
②战乱平息、地缘政局平稳:战争和地区政局动荡,都会极大地刺激投资者的避险意识,将钱转投黄金市场促使黄金价格上涨。反之,当地区战乱平息、地缘政局平稳时,人们就更愿意把钱拿出来投资经济建设,就会使金价出现下滑;
③美元状态良好:美元跟金价通常呈负相关关系,换句话说就是美元上涨时,金价往往就会下跌。所以我们平时要留意国际消息,如果传出了利好美元的新闻、货币政策时,就是适合做空黄金的时机;
总的来说,做空现货黄金的盈利原理是什么?做空现货黄金其实就是一个“高卖低买”的过程,我们通过赚取金价下跌时产生的差价来获取自己的盈利。而其中我们做空黄金时,可以留意社会经济状态良好、地方政治战局平息、美元上涨等信号,提前预测黄金价格下跌趋势的出现进场做单盈利!
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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