法国大罢工,市场该如何应对?
自12月5日起,法国爆发的全国大罢工情况仍在持续,此次罢工主要是民众反对政府的退休制度改个,而且这次罢工的面向对象是公共设施,导致法国首都巴黎的公共交通情况几乎完全瘫痪,很多居民不得不调整出行方式,而且很多学校都发出了停课通知,法国大罢工会给市场带来怎样的影响呢?投资者又该如何应对?
高福利国家的难题
此次法国罢工并没有表面上那么简单,其根本原因在于高福利国家的人口老龄化问题,经济疲软以及债务问题。
在人口老龄化越发严重的法国,现在的退休制度正在不断压榨法国的经济发展,同时整体经济的疲软也让制造业受到冲击,失业问题明显,加上目前法国养老金的财政赤字,迫使法国不得不做出改变。国用在国民退休保障上的开支已经占GDP的14%。如果不实行改革,在2022年,养老金赤字将突破100亿欧元。所以这次罢工表现出来的更多是法国的经济问题。
投资者应该如何是好?
在经济全球化的今天,法国问题也是值得投资者所关注的,那投资者对此应该怎么做呢?如果形势继续恶化,这股罢工热潮可能会“欧洲化”,蔓延到德国等邻国,欧洲经济可能因此再添加一个不稳定因素。在某种程度上会拖累欧元区经济,从而提振美元指数,但考虑到此事会激发市场的避险情绪,市场对黄金的期待也会明显增加,所以在没有更多信息出炉前,保持谨慎的观望态度是比较好的方法。
法国大罢工事件下,还表明了市场对来年经济发展预期的担忧,目前还有贸易局势,特朗普听证会等影响全球避险情绪的时间,投资者应该仔细留意,方可夺得盈利先机。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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