美联储还会降息吗?
在整个投资理财市场中,由于美国经济在全球经济上的绝对性地位,美元走向也会影响理财市场的波动走向,因此决定美国经济命脉运行状态的美联储的日常动向自然成为了很多投资者所关注的重点,而今年美联储已经先后降息三次了,今年还会降息吗?今天就来了解一下。
降息意味着什么
美联储降息,即美联储降低联邦基准利率,由于美国的利率是市场化的,并不对银行利率作出具体规定。所以联邦基金有效利率反映的是银行持有准备金的机会成本,因而也是一种基准性利率。这对于美国银行的利率有很强的指导作用,因此间接的影响了整个美国银行业的利率水平。
而降息对投资者最大的影响就是,人民币升值预期增加,降息导致市场上资金流动性增加的情况,而美元则会出现贬值情况,相对应的人民币就会增加,同时市场看衰美元,资金转而投入到黄金这类资产上,黄金行情便会上涨。
对于投资者来说,除了可以做空美元产生盈利机会之外,还可以通过做多黄金来进一步放大自己的投资收益。但市场的具体走向并不是美联储消息决定的,还要考虑市场其他因素来做出综合性考虑。
还有降息的可能性吗?
前面说到美联储在今年已经先后三次降息了,那么今年还有可能继续降息吗?答案是大概率不可能,美联储主席鲍威尔在11月13日的国会作证时表示,只要美国经济维持在现有的路线上,短期内不太可能调整利率。但由于美国总统特朗普经常对美联储抱有怨言,其言论可能对市场走向有一定的影响,所以还是建议投资者保持谨慎态度。
结语
美联储在今年还会降息吗?虽然市场预期大概率不会降息,但不排除市场未来出现“黑天鹅”事件,让市场风向出现较为激烈的变化,所以投资者还是要多多提高对市场的关注度。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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