中国9月制造业数据不及预期会影响加息吗
关键词：中国9月制造业数据不及预期会影响加息吗
目前，中国的经济状况是全球关注的焦点之一，不少国家对中国经济放缓抱持担忧，美联储很多官员都曾表示过美国能否加息，还要考虑中国等国家带来的市场风险。今日亚盘时段，中国公布的制造业数据不及预期，其是否会成为加息的阻碍之一呢？
中国制造业下行压力大
据具体数据显示，9月财新中国制造业PMI初值数据降至47，创下2009年3月以来的最低位，该指数已连续七个月处于荣枯线下方。除了二月外，今年中国PMI呈现持续走软态势。
此外，从报告分项指标来看，除了产成品库存加速增长，产出指数、新订单指数、新出口订单指数、就业指数、投入价格、出厂价格仍继续下滑，这不但显示制造业下行压力沉重，还表现出内外需疲弱仍未缓解。
中国制造业加速萎缩 美联储面临考验
上周美联储不加息的原因直指中国经济减速，而现在公布的数据显示，中国制造业加速萎缩，一定程度上反映了中国经济增速有进一步放缓的倾向，这增加了美联储面临的考验，同样削弱了美联储在下次议息会议中加息的可能。
此外，面对持续走软的经济现状，中国未来很可能会继续实施降息等更多宽松措施来刺激经济复苏，届时，由于人民币的贬值，会引起美元变相走高而间接显示加息效果，还会打压美国的出口行业，从而拖累美国通胀，继而使美国无法达到加息条件。
总的来说，中国PMI下滑，增大了全球经济复苏面临的风险，同时也对美联储能否加息造成了一定程度的不利影响。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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