中国A股还会下到3000点下方吗
关键词:中国A股还会下到3000点下方吗
股票市场总是跌跌宕宕,之前还下到3000点下方,虽然现在回升了一点,不过市场还是保持着A股还会再次下到3000点的担忧,那么,A股到底还会不会重新跌至3000点下方呢?
1、从月图分析
从月图来看,MACD红柱缩量,快慢线有形成死叉的趋势,暗示着未来下跌趋势较强。此外,MA5和MA10均拐头向下,呈现出明显的下行趋势,而下方支撑则在MA20和MA30区间内,即2799-3087。若价格下到该区间,可能会引起较大的反弹。
2、从周图分析
从周图来看,MACD柱线持续在零轴下方增量,快慢线形成死叉后放量下行,表示出较强的下行动能,同时,MA5、MA10下行趋势明显,并与MA30构成死叉,MA60升势放缓,并对K线产生短期内的强势压力,若无较大的利好消息或大额买单,可能很难向上突破。此外,从成交量来看,现在市场卖压沉重。
3、从基本面分析
制造业数据欠佳
本周统计局公布数据显示,中国8月制造业PMI为49.7%,比上月下降0.3个百分点,降至荣枯线50以下,显示出中国制造业增长动力不足,中国经济有所衰退,这在短期内对股票构成较大的利空。
降息将准
之前人民币中间价贬值致使股市崩盘,针对于此,中国央行启动降息降准政策,这将逐步刺激市场的投资行为,从而在一定时期内逐步提振股市。
原油价格疲软
虽然原油价格此前出现过连日的强势反弹,但随后又出现了暴跌,而美国周三公布的数据显示,EIA原油库存增加446.7万桶,供求出现较大的增长,这或将继续打压油价下滑,这将利空于能源股,从而拖累A股走软。
综合技术面和基本面的分析来看,小编认为A股在短期内会继续走低,最低可能会触及到2800-3100区间,随后可能会受到较大的提振而大幅反弹。因此,在近期内想要风险投资的朋友不妨考虑看看像大田伦敦金、千克金这类型产品,其入市门槛低,又有杠杆成倍扩大收益,重要的是其是双向交易产品,不用担心价格下跌会被套牢。此外,担心自己判断不好,还能参考大田官网专业分析师每日更新的投资策略。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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