降息对股市的影响
关键词:降息对股市的影响
影响股市行情有很多因素,主要是包括经济因素、政治因素、公司自身因素、行业因素、市场因素和心理因素,其中经济因素是影响股市的最根本因素,而降息是属于经济因素,那你了解降息对股市的影响吗?你能够抓准降息的机会买入或是卖出股票从而获利吗?当你的回答是“不知道”或是一知半解的时候,我们就应该认真学习一番了。
一、降息的实质
第一,降息的根本原因不是为了刺激股市,而是调节信贷市场和国家宏观的经济环境。由于国内经济增长的下行压力不减,实体经济的融资成本盘踞高位,而消费物价低迷,生产物价持续通缩,“降息”已是刺激经济的必要之举。降息,能够加大市场资金的流通量和速度,刺激消费,进而有可能短期扭转宏观经济的颓势。
第二,降息是人为干扰经济市场,国家能够降息必然之后也会相应的升息。所以,投资者需要关注两者之间的区别。
总之,降息能够产生短期的刺激作用,但是时间长了,作用也不会持续发酵。
二、降息对股市的影响
从理论上而言,降息对股市是利好的。由于银行降息,上市的贷款利息就会减少,进而减少公司的支出。另外,降息后的存款的收益降低,人们大多不愿意把钱存入银行,而是取出来用来投资,所以必然会有大量的资金涌入股市市场。
但是在实际行情,降息就不一定是对股市利好,有时候市场对央行降息的行为无动于衷,或是小幅反弹,甚至有的时候反而会让股市的行情下跌。所以投资者得到央行降息的消息面之后,还是需要根据实际行情和股市的反应判断股市未来的行情和趋势。
三、中国降息的最新消息
中国人民银行决定,自2014年11月22日起下调金融机构人民币(6.2597, 0.0102, 0.16%)贷款和存款基准利率。金融机构一年期贷款基准利率下调0.4个百分点至5.6%;一年期存款基准利率下调0.25个百分点至2.75%,同时结合推进利率市场化改革,将金融机构存款利率浮动区间的上限由存款基准利率的1.1倍调整为1.2倍;其他各档次贷款和存款基准利率相应调整,并对基准利率期限档次作适当简并。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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