印度排灯节料为金价提供支撑
关键词：印度实物黄金需求
印度9月的黄金进口总量达到去年同期的五倍左右，接近95公吨，因近期国际金价大跌以及季节性需求升温。不过由于9月印度黄金进口大增5倍，导致其贸易赤字出现大幅攀升，对印度政府再度收紧黄金进口显示的担忧开始出现。
全印度珠宝盒首饰贸易联合会称，在接下来的三个月中，印度国内的需求会增长15-20%，进口将达175至200吨，比一年前的114吨有明显的增长。
受到季节性需求的驱动，印度黄金溢价从11-15美元上升到18-22美元/盎司。相比2013年的需求来看，今年显然非常好，但是和前几年的比较，实物需求仍然还不够强大。
上周受全球经济忧虑引发避险买盘带动，金价连升第二周。不过分析师表示，由于股市反弹及美国经济成长具韧性，可能在短期内打压金价。
虽然最近几周的市场波动以及围绕全球经济前景的不确定性使投资者感到不安，并导致部分美联储官员发出了指向不一的信号，但在美联储本月政策会议即将召开之际，官员们的立场没有改变，美联储很有可能会在10月28-29日的政策会议上结束其债券购买计划。
尽管印度排灯节料为金价提供支撑，不过也不应高看其对黄金的支撑力度，因美联储会议即将来袭，其定会盖过排灯节的影响。不过在美联储会议召开前，排灯节对黄金实物需求的提振将在金市中发挥影响力。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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