印度大选 黄金走势何去何从？
关键字：印度大选
近日，印度大选激战正酣，作为一个黄金需求大国，好像这次选举和黄金无关有点奇怪。
民调显示，和印度黄金行业比较亲密的莫迪有望当选总理，不过他这次竞选纲领里没有提到黄金，这让人有些失望。
不过基于印度的国情，放宽黄金进口可能是大势所趋。印度人进口黄金是用于首饰和化妆品，从这点来看无可厚非。
而从现在的情况来说，印度的黄金进口量从2013年5月的77亿美元下降到今年1月的14亿美元，印度民间一直在呼吁印度现政府是否限制黄金进口“过火”了？
从印度政府要遏制经常账户赤字印度2013至2014年的经常账户赤字预计为350亿美元，也就是GDP的大约2%，这较2012年至2013年的882亿美元及4.8%的GDP相比，有很大下降。
所以，印度完全没有理由继续限制黄金进口。当然作为一名政客，莫迪向来不当出头鸟，如果此时大张旗鼓的将放松黄金进口作为竞选纲领中的一条，难免会被政敌攻击，成熟的政客总是要等待时机成熟了之后（当选总理）再施展谋略。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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