澳元与黄金的相关性
关键字：澳元与黄金
澳元被称为“商品货币”，世界商品价格特别是黄金价格对澳元汇率有着较为重要的影响。澳大利亚是一个以出口为主的国家，盛产黄金、铜、铝、羊毛等工业品和棉纺品，这些商品占澳大利亚总出口额的近2/3。因此，澳元的走势的高低通常受这些商品价格趋势的较强影响。
人们以近几年来黄金价格的变化，看其对澳元汇率涨跌的影响。结果来看，当黄金价格上涨时澳元汇率也随之上涨，金属价格回调时澳元也随之回调。根据2005年的官方报告，澳大利亚在当年的产金量仅次于南非，其产量占据了10.4%的市场，不过，可以非常确定的是从那以后澳大利亚的黄金产量在逐年下降，其他主要产金国也有相同的情况，加上金融市场的动荡和地缘政治结构的变化，金价不断上涨，这间接地推高了对澳元的需求，澳元因而与金价出现了同步上扬，一直持续到2008年年中。数据显示，截止2008年，澳大利亚是全球第四大黄金产地，仅次于中国、南非和美国。
在分析澳元时，交易者可以把黄金价格作为一个辅助参考，黄金的价格波动可以给澳元兑美元的走势提供线索。如果不能直接交易黄金，凭借澳元兑美元和黄金强烈的相关性，你可以选择澳元兑美元作为出色的替代品种。你可以在现货外汇市场中买卖澳元兑美元，替代在期货市场交易的黄金。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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