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罗杰斯:未来2年黄金市场将迎来第二春

关键字:黄金市场分析

传奇投资分析师吉姆·罗杰斯(Jim Rogers)在最近接受媒体采访时表示,未来2年黄金市场将迎来另一个“春天”,可以放手购买黄金。

罗杰斯声称,“倘若黄金价格位于1000美元/盎司,大可购买黄金;若美国伊朗战争触发,金价上涨至1600美元/盎司也可放心购买。”他解释说,“未来国际黄金可能还会下跌,低价买入黄金仍有机会。这也是我个人会对冲一些黄金,但不是抛售的原因。”

美联储在最近一次会议上进一步削减QE规模,至450亿美元/月。一些逆向投资者认为,一旦美国央行开始依赖于每月财政刺激计划,美联储将为维持宽松政策,放缓削减QE步伐。

罗杰斯指出,“美联储及其货币政策对大众来说就像一场灾难。QE政策一开始就不该实行。但美联储一贯充斥着学术和官派作风,政策制定者也无他法。”他继续补充说,“从中长期来看,历史上依靠贬低货币来刺激经济举措从未有效过。短线可能起到刺激作用,但是从长远来看,此种举措很难利好经济。当前各大央行同时大量印发纸币来增强货币流通,以此刺激经济增长。此举措规模实为空前。但一旦停止刺激计划,整个金融系统将面临灾难。”

关于美股和大宗商品方面,罗杰斯分别提醒称,“美国股市估值过高;而大宗商品需要对俄罗斯和乌克兰局势保持关注。”

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