瑞士信贷:2014年金价将跌至1000美元
关键字:金价下跌
瑞士信贷(Credit Suisse)周一在报告中指出,美联储的量化宽松政策正逐步走向终点,并预计2014年末黄金价格将下探1000美元/盎司。瑞士信贷列出了以下五大看空黄金的理由:
1)实际上,美联储宽松政策引起的通胀上行风险很小,不必杞人忧天。
2)北大西洋银行系统(North Atlantic banking system)更好的资本化(没有主权违约风险)暗示此前系统性金融崩溃的担忧已经烟消云散。
3)当前黄金“绝对”估值过高
4)此前美元长期的跌势将结束,未来将开启长期的牛市。
5)2013年亚洲黄金首饰需求以及小型黄金产品的投资曾意外走高,但2014年这样的情况会大幅降温。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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