黄金期货价格跌 HSBC下调今年铂金均价
关键字：黄金期货价格、铂金价
普氏能源信息（Platts）报导，汇丰银行（HSBC）11月22日报告将今年铂金均价预估下调80美元至每盎司1,500美元，2014年均价预估则下调100美元至每盎司1,625美元，主要是受到实物黄金表现低迷的拖累。该行称，铂金价格通常受到金价走势的影响，但由于铂金市场的持续短缺，将会在明年逐渐令铂金价格与金价分道扬镳，并带动铂金价格上涨。该行对今明两年钯金价格的预测维持不变，分别为每盎司750美元和825美元。
汇丰预计今年铂金市场供应缺口将达到创纪录的88.9万盎司，明年将缩窄至40.2万盎司，主要因为新的南非铂金交易所交易基金（ETF）的需求已达到稳定水平。明年预测的供应小幅增长将跟不上潜在工业需求的增长，尤其是汽车行业对铂金消费的增长。汇丰银行预计今年钯金市场将出现52.2万盎司的供应缺口，明年将倍增至106万盎司，因钯金需求将增长、俄罗斯库存销售将减少、矿产量增长疲软，以及新的南非钯金ETF可能将推出等，将增加投资者需求。
花旗研调（Citi Research）最新报告认为铂金与钯金的供需基本面对其价格的支撑相当正面，其中钯金尤佳。钯金是今年表现最佳的贵金属，年初至今约有6%涨幅，也是贵金属当中唯一上涨的。花旗预估至明年底前钯金价格将会接近每盎司900美元，主要受到汽车市场以及投资需求的带动，明年第四季的钯金均价预估将达850美元，全年均价则预估为800美元。花旗预估2014年铂金均价将为每盎司1,500美元，其中第四季均价将来到1,525美元，约较目前价位有5%的上涨空间。
受到全球汽车销量预期将创新高的带动，铂金与钯金预期将成为明年度表现最佳的贵金属。根据彭博社的调查，至2014年第四季，铂金价格将上涨13%至平均每盎司1,635美元，钯金价格将上涨9.8%至平均每盎司823美元。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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