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罗杰斯:市场看多黄金 金价未见底

关键字:黄金市场

商品投资大师吉姆罗杰斯(Jim Rogers)在接受专访时指出,他过去从未见过连涨12年的资产,黄金能有这样的走势相当不正常,因此其修正的态势恐怕也不能等闲视之,也许时间会长达1-3年。他说,市场上看多黄金的人还是太多、放弃的人数则仍不足,因此金价的终极底部应该尚未出现。

罗杰斯说,他在金价跌至每盎司1,200美元时买了一些,会在跌到1,100美元时买更多以防万一。不过,金价的底部可能要等到今(2013)年稍晚或明年才会出现,接下来应该还有机会承接黄金。他并表示,他目前拥有ETF与实体黄金。

纽约商品期货交易所(COMEX)12月黄金期货曾在10月1日大跌40.9美元或3.1%成为每盎司1,286.1美元,盘中最低一度跌至1,282.40美元、创下8月8日以来盘中新低,主要受到美国政府关门,以及金币需求下滑的影响。路透社报导,1日当天至少有一名投资者大量抛售黄金,导致金价出现重挫。

不过,最近几日金价则出现反弹走势。分析师指出,美元走软、预算争议让金价从日前的跌势中恢复过来,过去两天内的买盘主要来自之前退出市场的投机客。

根据路透社10月1日报导,美银/美林全球技术策略部主管MacNeil Curry表示,COMEX黄金期货价格收在每盎司1,297美元之下,技术分析上所谓的「头肩顶(head and shoulders top)」已经成型,这意味着金价会跌破1,270美元的关键价位、朝1,180美元的低点迈进。

 

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