本周公布非农等数据 预计贵金属价格上升
关键字:非农数据、贵金属价格、金价上升
近期贵金属大致呈”之”字型的走势,维持一定幅度震荡(金价大约在1320-1360)区间波动, 尽管消费者信心改善,推升了Fed缩减购债的展望,但该数据公布后,黄金价格一度削减跌幅,而后又大幅下跌,上周的跌势,可归因于本周重要数据公布前,包括利率决议,多头的获利了结卖压。
本周一(7月29日)将发布美国成屋销售,周二则是Case-Shiller房价指标,周三迎来一系列关键指标,2季度GDP数据,芝加哥PMI指标,ADP就业数据和重点的美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议,这一次伯南克不必召开新闻发布会,因此市场波动抑或有限 但这一系列数据会令到联储缩减购债的不确定性有明确方向,也令贵金属价格有明确的指引。
我们预计金价未来可能会进一步调整、才会向上攀升。”
阻力位会设置在1350,支持位则在1320
如突破阻力位 金价好大机会承势升上1400至1500
上周五,美国7月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值为85.1,远超预期,并创2007年7月以来最高,美国上周ECRI领先指标为131.3,高于前值131.2,美元指数小幅反弹,金价下跌至日内低点1312美元,之后,中国实物金需求仍在走强,加上即将召开美联储议息会议,以及投资者进行空头回补操作,金价收回跌幅至1333.2美元。 日线图显示,金价暂时受制于60日平均线,KD掉头向下。小时图显示,OSC在零轴上方减弱,KD掉头向下。表明金价短线面临60日平均线阻力,偏向区间盘整节奏,关注1341美元阻力及1314美元支持。预计短期,伦敦金将反弹测试60日平均线1341美元的阻力,若受阻回落,则向下测试10日平均线1313美元。 支持位:1324,1320,1313。 阻力位:1341,1347,1350。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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