失业数据与通胀率均成美联储考虑因素
美国通胀数据定于北京时间周二20:30公布，接受媒体调查的经济学家预期中值显示，美国6月末季调查消费者物价指数(CPI)年率料自1.4%升至1.5%，6月未季调核心CPI年率预计自1.7%下滑至1.6%。
大田環球貴金屬 分析师 认为
当前美国失业率依然处于7.6%的高位，而美国通胀率则持续低位，这也给美联储(FED)内部鸽派维持当前宽松立场提供充足理由，因此若有迹象显示通胀出现抬头迹象，将提升外界对美联储较早退出QE的预期，从而利好美元，而通胀若进一步下滑，则将助长鸽派的“气焰”，对美元构成打压。
上周五，美国圣路易斯联储主席布拉德(JamesBullard)曾表示，目前美国通胀率水平过低，而如果通胀率进一步下降，则美联储可能必须采取更多措施来推升通胀率。
布拉德是美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)今年的轮值投票委员之一。他曾在6月决议时对美联储维持每月资产购买规模不变的做法投了反对票。他当时投反对票的理由恰恰是站在更为鸽派的一面。因此，目前对于美联储而言，除了失业数据外，通胀水平也将是其不得不考量的重要因素。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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