非农数据大幅好于预期 金银承压继续下行
上周五公布的非农数据好于预期，美元指数强势上攻，黄金白银则大幅下挫。非农之后基本面逐渐平静，黄金白银预计进入调整走势。
行情回顾
上周五美国公布6月非农就业人口预期+16.5，公布值+19.5，前值修正为+19.5；美国6月失业率前值7.6%，预期7.5%，公布值7.6%。非农数据的大幅利好，推动美元指数强势上涨，贵金属则大幅下挫。回顾上周五行情，现货黄金开盘1249.54美元/盎司，最高1250.82美元/盎司，最低1208.4美元/盎司，收盘1222.88美元/盎司，波幅42.42美元，下跌2.18%。现货白银开盘3884元/千克，最高3897元/千克，最低3718元/千克，收盘3748元/千克，波幅179点，下跌3.5%。
黄金技术面分析
现货黄金上个交易日大幅下跌。日线图，Macd红柱缩短，多头动能减弱，快慢线在0轴下方，慢线趋势向下，快线和慢线粘合，短线多空方向不是很明显。Rsi在50下方，接近40位置，整体处于弱势格局。均线系统5、10、20日均线向下发散，仍为空头排列。4小时图，macd柱状图绿柱缩短，空方动能在加强，快慢线在0轴附近，Rsi到达50下方，空方力量占优。均线系统5、10、20周期均线趋势向下，处于弱势格局。今日亚盘时段，预计弱势整理的概率较大。
黄金操作策略
现货黄金在上个交易日大幅下挫之后，今日亚盘时段延续低位整理走势的可能性较大，激进者建议在1205附近轻仓短线做多，止损4美元，止盈8美元。稳健者建议观望。
白银技术面分析
现货白银上个交易日跌幅大于黄金。日线图上，Macd柱状图绿柱增长，在0轴附近，快慢线在0轴下方，趋势向下，快线向下勾头和慢线粘合。Rsi向下，接近40位置。均线系统5日均线和10日均线粘合，10、20周期均线趋势向下，关注20周期均线的压力。4小时图，macd绿柱增长，快慢线进入0轴下方，趋势向下。Rsi向下突破50位置，短线弱势格局或将延续，均线系统5、10、20周期向下，20、60周期均线为重要压力位。亚盘时段，预延弱势整理的概率较大。
白银操作策略
现货白银今日预计维持低位窄幅整理的走势。亚盘时段，激进者建议在3680-3700附近轻仓短线做多，止损40，止盈60点。稳健者建议观望。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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